| NEW YORK 19:40 |
LONDON 00:40 |
PARIS 01:40 |
FRANKFURT 01:40 |
HONG KONG 06:40 |
TOKYO 08:40 |
SYDNEY 09:40 |
Midday Report
The pair is trading with an upside bias since morning and approaching the recently recorded top around 1.4880. Stochastic over four-hour basis supports this upside tendency. In general, the suggested weekly scenario remains valid, noting that the breach of the mentioned top will accelerate the upside move.
The trading range for this week is among the major support at 1.4605 and the major resistance at 1.5150.
The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.2795 targeting 1.5135.
| Support | 1.4785 | 1.4715 | 1.4630 | 1.4605 | 1.4580 |
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| Resistance | 1.4880 | 1.4950 | 1.4995 | 1.5050 | 1.5100 |
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| Recommendation | Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend buying the pair around 1.4715 targeting 1.4880 and stop loss below 1.4605 might be appropriate this week | ||||
Midday Report
The pair has been trading within a tight range since this morning where this range is unloading the negativity on Stochastic. Therefore, our morning expectations remain valid while breaching 1.6610 might delay it for some time.
The trading range for this week is among the major support at 1.6525 and the major resistance at 1.7000.
The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.5315 with targets at 1.7000.
| Support | 1.6610 | 1.6525 | 1.6505 | 1.6455 | 1.6385 |
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| Resistance | 1.6675 | 1.6700 | 1.6740 | 1.6800 | 1.6850 |
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| Recommendation | Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying the pair around 1.6610 targeting 1.6850 and stop loss below 1.6525 might be appropriate this week | ||||
Midday Report
The pair is trading within a tight range with a slight upside bias affected by momentum indicators. Therefore, our morning bullish expectations remain valid as far as stability is above 80.80.
The trading range for this week is among the major support at 79.80 and the major resistance at 84.50.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 89.35 remains intact with targets at 77.70.
| Support | 80.80 | 80.25 | 79.80 | 79.00 | 78.40 |
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| Resistance | 81.50 | 82.35 | 82.50 | 83.00 | 83.50 |
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| Recommendation | Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying the pair around 80.80 targeting 82.50 and stop loss below 79.80 might be appropriate this week | ||||
Midday Report
Over four-hour basis, we can see Stochastic loosing the positive momentum to trade within overbought areas. The signals support our expectations for the pair to resume the bearishness supported by the negative pressure from the SMA 50. Breaching 0.8625 will ease the awaited downside move.
The trading range for this week is among the major support at 0.8400 and the major resistance at 0.8900.
The short term trend is to the downside with steady daily closing below 1.0330 targeting 0.8000.
| Support | 0.8670 | 0.8625 | 0.8545 | 0.8485 | 0.8450 |
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| Resistance | 0.8725 | 0.8775 | 0.8820 | 0.8900 | 0.8950 |
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| Recommendation | Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 0.8725 targeting 0.8485 and stop loss above 0.8900 might be appropriate this week | ||||
Midday Report
The pair is moving to the upside to retest 0.9575 areas while momentum indicators provide positive signals that support trading with an upside bias. In general due to the negative factors mentioned in the weekly report, we preserve our expectations for the downside move targeting initially 0.9300 areas and require stability below 0.9650.
The trading range for this week is among the major support at 0.9270 and the major resistance at 0.9650.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 1.0665 remains intact targeting 0.9000.
| Support | 0.9465 | 0.9400 | 0.9350 | 0.9300 | 0.9270 |
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| Resistance | 0.9505 | 0.9575 | 0.9615 | 0.9650 | 0.9700 |
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| Recommendation | Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 0.9575 targeting 0.9400 and stop loss above 0.9650 might be appropriate this week | ||||
One might regard forex as being somewhat simple: you just need to know which pair to trade, when to get in, and when to get out. (An exception to this is with carry trading, where you also need to pay attention to a few other factors). Here we discuss some of the major signals for knowing when to exit a trade.
The basic set of tools, provided for free by most forex brokers, are almost identical to the entry signals. With entry, you look for a trend and jump in just before it starts. With exits, you simply look for the end of a trend or the beginning of a new one, and jump out before it’s too late.
The big difference is that you are not usually looking for a new trend. By the time you can identify that a new trend has begun and is measurably significant, it’s already too late—you’re losing money. Instead, you should exit the market as soon as it is clear that the trend you bought on has ended. Trend following is just one of several ways to become successful in the forex market.
So you could start with crossovers in the moving average. If you used that to identify an uptrend, now you’re looking for a reversal with crossover from above. But hopefully you won’t get that far. Instead, you should watch the percentage of change in the short term moving average. If the short term average remains unchanged over a period of time, the trend has probably ended.
Of course, this means that the average directional index (ADX) or moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) both become more significant for you. Look for stabilization or stagnation in these indicators as a signal for the end of a trend. Some of the most helpful forex exit signals are the momentum indicators such as TRIX, smoothed rate of change, or relative strength.
It is also easy to draw a trend line based on Fibonacci pivot points. When prices begin to fall below the original trend line and you see a new pattern of pivot points, the trend has ended. Look for resistance or support that offers any type of pattern. You can also rely on exponential moving average (200 EMA). The problem here is that it is often hard to know if you are dealing with a new trend or just with retracement. This is where price candles can be helpful in some cases. Since the end of a trend is often more analytically complex than the beginning, knowing your analysis well is very important.
News shocks are generally a bad way to make exit decisions, since your response will be too late, anyway. However, if you do have reason to suspect an event and you are more accurate than the market, this might be useful. Generally, your stop loss order will kick in before you can.
And this is where the most important exit signal comes in. You should always have stop-losses in place for every trade you make. Quite simply, you’ve found an exit signal when your stop-loss kicks in and ends the trade for you!
This also relates to the biggest value in automated systems: rely on your software to free you from a position before you lose too much. You can set this up in complex ways to help you even with profitable trades. If more traders relied on their own analysis to get them into the market and software as one of several signals to get them out, they would significantly improve their profits.