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Thu, Aug 28 2008, 07:45 GMT New York  03:45 London  08:45 Barcelona  08:45 Tokyo  16:45 Sydney  17:45
EUR/USD  1.476 | -0.05%      GBP/USD  1.8363 | -0.56%      100 JPY/USD  0.9171 | -0.02%      AUD/USD  0.8663 | 0.4%      CHF/USD  0.9144 | -0.1%      CAD/USD  0.9561 | -0.18%      USD/JPY  109.0379 | 0.02%      
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Rates update: 2008-08-27
 
Hedging Strategy
 Posted on Jun-06-2008

The dollar fell below parity with the Swiss franc in March to 0.9987 Swiss francs. Then it overcame parity with the US dollar reaching 0.9644. As the dollar sell-off joined the increasing risk aversion, the franc gained its strength as a safe-haven currency. It is quite obvious now that Asian and European market can’t be separated from US’s slide, a slow retracement from the lows in USD started. USD/CHF price action is indicating a continuation for the fledgling bullish trend. With the pair trading just days before the markets expect to see May Non Farm Payrolls get lower -52k, there is a substantial possibility that the pair will retrace lower before a topside breakout is to materialize.

Hedging Strategy

Currency Pair: USDCHF

Long Term Bias: Bullish
Long Term Position: Holding Long

Short Term Bias: Bearish
Short Term Position: Short below 1.0490, Target 1.0290, Stop-Loss at 1.0540

Traders may consider a hedge short USD/CHF below 1.0490 with a target at 1.0290. If they hit the profit target, bullish trend might resume.


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